{"id":190655,"date":"2023-04-19T09:16:00","date_gmt":"2023-04-19T13:16:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ifamnews.com\/?p=190655"},"modified":"2023-04-19T07:17:10","modified_gmt":"2023-04-19T11:17:10","slug":"l-union-europ-enne-est-au-bord-de-l-extinction","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ifamnews.com\/fr\/l-union-europ-enne-est-au-bord-de-l-extinction","title":{"rendered":"L’Union europ\u00e9enne est au bord de l’extinction"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Selon les estimations d’Eurostat, le continent europ\u00e9en pourrait voir sa population diminuer de 6 %, soit 27,3 millions de personnes, d’ici \u00e0 2100. Apr\u00e8s deux ann\u00e9es de d\u00e9clin dues \u00e0 la pand\u00e9mie de COVID-19, la population de l’UE a commenc\u00e9 \u00e0 se redresser en 2022 et est estim\u00e9e \u00e0 451 millions au d\u00e9but de cette ann\u00e9e. Cette croissance est largement attribu\u00e9e \u00e0 l’afflux massif de r\u00e9fugi\u00e9s ukrainiens qui a suivi l’invasion du pays par la Russie.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Le dernier rapport de l’office statistique de l’UE pr\u00e9voit que la population de l’Union continuera \u00e0 cro\u00eetre, atteignant un pic de 453 millions en 2026, avant de retomber \u00e0 420 millions en 2100. Les projections<\/a> sont bas\u00e9es sur les sch\u00e9mas de f\u00e9condit\u00e9, de mortalit\u00e9 et de migration du continent. La pyramide des \u00e2ges de 2100 pr\u00e9voit une soci\u00e9t\u00e9 en perte de vitesse et vieillissante. La part des enfants, des jeunes de moins de 20 ans et des personnes en \u00e2ge de travailler diminuera, tandis que la part des personnes \u00e2g\u00e9es de 65 ans ou plus augmentera. En 2100, les plus de 65 ans repr\u00e9senteront 32 % de la population, contre 21 % en 2022. En cons\u00e9quence, la pyramide des<\/a> \u00e2ges projet\u00e9e sera beaucoup plus lourde au sommet qu’elle ne l’est aujourd’hui : il y aura plus de personnes de plus de 80 ans que de personnes de moins de 20 ans.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ces projections interviennent alors que la Chine<\/a> a fait les gros titres au d\u00e9but de l’ann\u00e9e en enregistrant sa premi\u00e8re baisse de population en six d\u00e9cennies. Selon les donn\u00e9es publi\u00e9es par le Bureau national des statistiques, le pays comptera 1,41175 milliard d’habitants \u00e0 la fin de l’ann\u00e9e 2022, soit une diminution de 850 000 personnes, les d\u00e9c\u00e8s ayant d\u00e9pass\u00e9 les naissances. Quel est le taux de f\u00e9condit\u00e9 en Europe ? Le taux de f\u00e9condit\u00e9 moyen de l’UE de 1,53 naissance vivante par femme en 2021 est l\u00e9g\u00e8rement plus \u00e9lev\u00e9 qu’en 2020 (1,50), mais en baisse par rapport \u00e0 1,57 en 2016. Les taux de f\u00e9condit\u00e9 totaux les plus bas en 2021 ont \u00e9t\u00e9 enregistr\u00e9s \u00e0 Malte (1,13 naissance par femme), en Espagne (1,19) et en Italie (1,25). La France arrive en t\u00eate, avec un taux de f\u00e9condit\u00e9 moyen de 1,84, suivie de la R\u00e9publique tch\u00e8que (1,83), de la Roumanie (1,81) et de l’Irlande (1,78). La variation naturelle de la population dans l’UE est n\u00e9gative depuis 2012, ce qui signifie que depuis plus d’une d\u00e9cennie, les d\u00e9c\u00e8s d\u00e9passent les naissances. Depuis 2011<\/a>, la croissance de la population de l’UE est attribu\u00e9e au solde migratoire et aux ajustements statistiques. Toutefois, en 2020 et 2021, le solde migratoire n’a pas compens\u00e9 la variation naturelle n\u00e9gative de la population de l’UE et, par cons\u00e9quent, la population totale de l’UE a diminu\u00e9.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

L’UE et la Chine ont des dynamiques migratoires diff\u00e9rentes. Le graphique ci-dessous compare leur taux de migration net, c’est-\u00e0-dire la diff\u00e9rence entre le nombre d’immigrants (qui s’installent dans un pays) et le nombre d’\u00e9migrants (qui le quittent) au cours de l’ann\u00e9e. Lorsque le nombre d’immigrants est sup\u00e9rieur au nombre d’\u00e9migrants, le taux de migration net est positif. Cependant, bien qu’elle ait nomm\u00e9 un vice-pr\u00e9sident de la Commission europ\u00e9enne, …, qui est cens\u00e9 s’occuper de la d\u00e9natalit\u00e9 et de la mani\u00e8re de favoriser la croissance d\u00e9mographique, l’Europe ne fait rien pour contrer sa propre extinction et, \u00e0 ce rythme, la seule ancre de \u00ab\u00a0salut\u00a0\u00bb sera le remplacement ethnique, religieux et racial des populations europ\u00e9ennes par des populations asiatiques, arabes et africaines, Tout le monde, \u00e0 l’exception de la Pologne et de la Hongrie, est r\u00e9sign\u00e9 … pour l’instant.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

L’Europe ne fait rien pour contrer sa propre extinction et tous les pays, \u00e0 l’exception de la Pologne et de la Hongrie, sont r\u00e9sign\u00e9s… pour l’instant.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":54,"featured_media":38166,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"give_campaign_id":0,"om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"mc4wp_mailchimp_campaign":[],"jnews-multi-image_gallery":[],"jnews_single_post":{"subtitle":"L'Europe ne fait rien pour contrer sa propre extinction et tous les pays, \u00e0 l'exception de la Pologne et de la Hongrie, sont r\u00e9sign\u00e9s... pour l'instant.","format":"standard","video":"","gallery":"","source_name":"","source_url":"","via_name":"","via_url":"","override_template":"0","override":[{"template":"2","single_blog_custom":"","parallax":"1","fullscreen":"1","layout":"right-sidebar-narrow","sidebar":"default-sidebar","second_sidebar":"default-sidebar","sticky_sidebar":"1","share_position":"float","share_float_style":"share-normal","show_share_counter":"1","show_view_counter":"1","show_featured":"1","show_post_meta":"1","show_post_author":"1","show_post_author_image":"1","show_post_date":"1","post_date_format":"default","post_date_format_custom":"Y\/m\/d","show_post_category":"1","show_post_reading_time":"1","post_reading_time_wpm":"300","show_zoom_button":"0","zoom_button_out_step":"2","zoom_button_in_step":"3","show_post_tag":"1","show_prev_next_post":"0","show_popup_post":"0","number_popup_post":"1","show_author_box":"1","show_post_related":"0","show_inline_post_related":"0"}],"override_image_size":"0","image_override":[{"single_post_thumbnail_size":"crop-715","single_post_gallery_size":"crop-715"}],"trending_post":"0","trending_post_position":"meta","trending_post_label":"Trending","sponsored_post":"0","sponsored_post_label":"Sponsored by","sponsored_post_name":"","sponsored_post_url":"","sponsored_post_logo_enable":"0","sponsored_post_logo":"","sponsored_post_desc":"","disable_ad":"0"},"jnews_primary_category":{"id":"819"},"jnews_social_meta":{"fb_title":"","fb_description":"","fb_image":"","twitter_title":"","twitter_description":"","twitter_image":""},"jnews_override_counter":{"override_view_counter":"0","view_counter_number":"0","override_share_counter":"0","share_counter_number":"0","override_like_counter":"0","like_counter_number":"0","override_dislike_counter":"0","dislike_counter_number":"0"},"footnotes":""},"categories":[809,819],"tags":[11046,11393,17097,22269,24188],"class_list":["post-190655","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-foreground-fr","category-vie","tag-chine-fr","tag-hongrie-fr-3","tag-poland-fr-3","tag-population-fr-2","tag-ue-fr"],"yoast_head":"\nL'Union europ\u00e9enne est au bord de l'extinction - 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