{"id":112075,"date":"2021-12-30T01:06:46","date_gmt":"2021-12-30T06:06:46","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ifamnews.com\/?p=112075"},"modified":"2021-12-30T01:06:48","modified_gmt":"2021-12-30T06:06:48","slug":"avoir-des-enfants-pour-sauver-la-plan-te","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ifamnews.com\/fr\/avoir-des-enfants-pour-sauver-la-plan-te","title":{"rendered":"Avoir des enfants pour sauver la plan\u00e8te"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Avoir plus d’enfants pour sauver la plan\u00e8te. L’appel de R\u00e9my Verlyck, PDG du centre de recherche fran\u00e7ais Familles Durables<\/a>, renverse le paradigme d’un certain environnementalisme radical. Si certains n\u00e9o-malthusiens continuent de pr\u00e9tendre<\/a> que \u00ab\u00a0les enfants sont la pire chose que l’on puisse faire pour l’environnement\u00a0\u00bb, il y a heureusement aussi ceux qui font confiance \u00e0 la vie.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Renverser un paradigme<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n

\u00ab\u00a0Dans une phase d\u00a0\u00bb\u00e9co-anxi\u00e9t\u00e9’ et de pessimisme, de plus en plus de personnes perdent le go\u00fbt de la vie et renoncent ou h\u00e9sitent \u00e0 procr\u00e9er\u00a0\u00bb, note Verlyck dans le journal fran\u00e7ais Le Figaro<\/em><\/a>. Pourtant, poursuit-il, \u00ab\u00a0il semble que le fait de donner naissance \u00e0 moins d’enfants n’aurait pratiquement aucun effet sur l’environnement\u00a0\u00bb. Au contraire, la d\u00e9natalit\u00e9 pourrait \u00ab\u00a0ralentir le rythme de l’innovation n\u00e9cessaire \u00e0 la transition \u00e9cologique\u00a0\u00bb.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Qu’est-ce que l'\u00a0\u00bb\u00e9co-anxi\u00e9t\u00e9\u00a0\u00bb ?<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n

Dans l’article, Verlyck cite une \u00e9tude de l’Universit\u00e9 Catholique de Louvain<\/a> men\u00e9e en 2021 aupr\u00e8s de 2 080 participants de huit pays d’Europe et d’Afrique. Le r\u00e9sultat est que 12 % d’entre eux souffrent d'\u00a0\u00bb\u00e9co-anxi\u00e9t\u00e9\u00a0\u00bb, c’est-\u00e0-dire d’une pr\u00e9occupation obsessionnelle pour la pollution de l’environnement. Sans \u00e9tablir de lien avec le niveau d’\u00e9ducation, on constate que les femmes et les moins de 40 ans<\/em> sont plus touch\u00e9s, pr\u00e9cis\u00e9ment les deux cat\u00e9gories qui pourraient repr\u00e9senter un moteur d\u00e9mographique.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Une autre \u00e9tude r\u00e9alis\u00e9e en 2021 par l’universit\u00e9 de Bath<\/a> a port\u00e9 sur 10 000 jeunes dans 10 pays et a r\u00e9v\u00e9l\u00e9 que 84 % d’entre eux \u00e9taient pr\u00e9occup\u00e9s par le r\u00e9chauffement de la plan\u00e8te, 59 % \u00e9taient extr\u00eamement pr\u00e9occup\u00e9s et 40 % \u00e9taient tellement pr\u00e9occup\u00e9s qu’ils h\u00e9sitaient \u00e0 procr\u00e9er. En bref, pr\u00e8s d’un jeune sur deux ne veut pas d’enfants \u00e0 cause des avertissements climatiques. Ces deux \u00e9tudes, souligne Verlyck, montrent que les changements environnementaux affectent non seulement notre habitat<\/em>, mais aussi le psychisme de nombre d’entre nous.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Sans enfants, pas de transition \u00e9cologique<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n

Un fort impact psychologique est assum\u00e9 par les diff\u00e9rents proph\u00e8tes de la d\u00e9naturation comme forme de protection de l’environnement. Selon eux, la procr\u00e9ation est mauvaise pour la plan\u00e8te, car les enfants sont sources d’\u00e9normes \u00e9missions de carbone dans l’air. M. Verlick note toutefois que la population mondiale est d\u00e9j\u00e0 appel\u00e9e \u00e0 diminuer au cours des prochaines d\u00e9cennies. \u00c0 cet \u00e9gard, le chroniqueur fran\u00e7ais cite une \u00e9tude<\/a> publi\u00e9e dans The Lancet<\/em> en 2020 : le pic serait atteint en 2064 avec environ 9,7 milliards d’\u00eatres humains, puis diminuerait \u00e0 8,8 milliards \u00e0 la fin du si\u00e8cle.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

L’Italie r\u00e9duite de moiti\u00e9<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n

Pour se faire une id\u00e9e des d\u00e9s\u00e9quilibres d\u00e9mographiques possibles, il est toutefois n\u00e9cessaire de d\u00e9placer le centre de l’analyse du tableau g\u00e9n\u00e9ral vers le tableau sp\u00e9cifique : 23 pays verraient m\u00eame leur population r\u00e9duite de moiti\u00e9. Il s’agit notamment de l’Espagne, du Japon et de l’Italie. L’\u00e9tude note que le vieillissement et la diminution de la population en \u00e2ge de travailler entraveront la croissance \u00e9conomique mondiale et, par cons\u00e9quent, la capacit\u00e9 \u00e0 financer l’innovation n\u00e9cessaire \u00e0 la transition \u00e9cologique.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Sterile Europe<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n

Mais la situation est pr\u00e9occupante dans toute l’Europe. L’article du Figaro<\/em> rapporte les pr\u00e9dictions 2018 de la Fondation Robert Schuman avec le titre \u00e9loquent : Europe 2050 : suicide d\u00e9mographique<\/em><\/a>. Le Vieux Continent pourrait perdre 49 millions de personnes en \u00e2ge de travailler en 20 ans. \u00ab\u00a0Avec un taux de f\u00e9condit\u00e9 total proche de 1,5, l’Europe comptera demain un tiers de g\u00e9n\u00e9rations de jeunes travailleurs de moins qu’aujourd’hui\u00a0\u00bb, indique le rapport. \u00ab\u00a0Une diminution du nombre de naissances est, pour un pays, l’\u00e9quivalent d’une diminution des investissements pour une entreprise ; cela lui permet de b\u00e9n\u00e9ficier, pour un temps, d’une tr\u00e9sorerie plus confortable, au prix de graves probl\u00e8mes ult\u00e9rieurs\u00a0\u00bb.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

R\u00e9percussions<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n

Verlick en arrive ensuite \u00e0 la conclusion suivante : \u00ab\u00a0Non seulement se priver de procr\u00e9er n’a pratiquement aucun impact sur le changement climatique, mais le vieillissement de la population aura de profondes r\u00e9percussions \u00e9conomiques, sociales et g\u00e9opolitiques en r\u00e9duisant la capacit\u00e9 de r\u00e9action\u00a0\u00bb. Le risque, cependant, est que lorsque nous nous en rendrons compte, il sera trop tard.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Contre le n\u00e9o-malthusianisme : le peu de personnes en \u00e2ge de travailler entrave la transition \u00e9cologique<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":15,"featured_media":111228,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"give_campaign_id":0,"om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"mc4wp_mailchimp_campaign":[],"jnews-multi-image_gallery":[],"jnews_single_post":{"subtitle":"Contre le n\u00e9o-malthusianisme : le peu de personnes en \u00e2ge de travailler entrave la transition \u00e9cologique","format":"standard","video":"","gallery":"","source_name":"","source_url":"","via_name":"","via_url":"","override":[{"template":"1","single_blog_custom":"","parallax":"1","fullscreen":"1","layout":"right-sidebar","sidebar":"default-sidebar","second_sidebar":"default-sidebar","sticky_sidebar":"1","share_position":"top","share_float_style":"share-monocrhome","show_share_counter":"1","show_view_counter":"1","show_featured":"1","show_post_meta":"1","show_post_author":"1","show_post_author_image":"1","show_post_date":"1","post_date_format":"default","post_date_format_custom":"Y\/m\/d","show_post_category":"1","post_reading_time_wpm":"300","zoom_button_out_step":"2","zoom_button_in_step":"3","show_post_tag":"1","show_prev_next_post":"1","show_popup_post":"1","number_popup_post":"1"}],"image_override":[{"single_post_thumbnail_size":"crop-500","single_post_gallery_size":"crop-500"}],"trending_post_position":"meta","trending_post_label":"Trending","sponsored_post_label":"Sponsored by","sponsored_post_name":"","sponsored_post_url":"","sponsored_post_logo":"","sponsored_post_desc":""},"jnews_primary_category":{"id":"819"},"jnews_social_meta":{"fb_title":"","fb_description":"","fb_image":"","twitter_title":"","twitter_description":"","twitter_image":""},"jnews_override_counter":{"view_counter_number":"0","share_counter_number":"0","like_counter_number":"0","dislike_counter_number":"0"},"footnotes":""},"categories":[809,819],"tags":[14071,14072,10253,8665,8496,14074,14073],"class_list":["post-112075","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-foreground-fr","category-vie","tag-denatalite","tag-environnementalisme","tag-famille-nombreuse","tag-foreground-fr","tag-highlight-fr","tag-malthusien","tag-procreation"],"yoast_head":"\nAvoir des enfants pour sauver la plan\u00e8te - 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In 2020 he wrote the novel \"East Berlin 2.0 - Notes between dystopia and reality\"","sameAs":["https:\/\/x.com\/https:\/\/twitter.com\/fedecenci"],"url":"https:\/\/ifamnews.com\/fr\/author\/fcenci"}]}},"amp_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/ifamnews.com\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/112075","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/ifamnews.com\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/ifamnews.com\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ifamnews.com\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/15"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ifamnews.com\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=112075"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/ifamnews.com\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/112075\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":112081,"href":"https:\/\/ifamnews.com\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/112075\/revisions\/112081"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ifamnews.com\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/111228"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/ifamnews.com\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=112075"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ifamnews.com\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=112075"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ifamnews.com\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=112075"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}